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Polymarket wallet 0xe4e1095da07f9924cf007a99bc0103f4027ff038 · on Polymarket since Jan 14, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 4,545 | 22¢ → 21¢ | $932 | −$68 −6.8% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,364 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 224 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 842 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 256 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,448 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$473 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 310 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 79 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.