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Polymarket wallet 0xe50eb4349decdd4b1ce39e1a9a342aa8a5845015 · on Polymarket since Mar 4, 2026 · also shown as Impolite-Spouse
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 67¢ → 100¢ | $50 | +$17 +49% |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 85¢ → 100¢ | $50 | +$8 +18% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 193d | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | BuyNo35¢ | $9 |
| 198d | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? | BuyNo67¢ | $34 |
| 198d | Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? | BuyNo85¢ | $43 |
| 221d | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BuyNo73¢ | $37 |
| 221d | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BuyNo50¢ | $25 |
| 228d | Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1? | BuyYes3¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.