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Polymarket wallet 0xe6ba412b121e1d05f4ac782d5f3710dc5d0320d1 · on Polymarket since Oct 19, 2025 · also shown as Vague-Spatula
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 11AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 25, 11AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 256 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 247 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 25, 12PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 312d | Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18? | BuyNo8¢ | $2 |
| 312d | Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18? | BuyNo7¢ | $17 |
| 312d | Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17? | BuyNo15¢ | $37 |
| 352d | Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 11AM ET | BuyUp49¢ | $5 |
| 353d | Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10AM ET | BuyUp49¢ | $5 |
| 364d | XRP Up or Down - October 25, 1PM ET | BuyUp49¢ | $5 |
| 364d | XRP Up or Down - October 25, 12PM ET | BuyUp49¢ | $5 |
| 364d | XRP Up or Down - October 25, 11AM ET | BuyUp49¢ | $5 |
| 364d | XRP Up or Down - October 25, 10AM ET | BuyUp49¢ | $3 |
| 364d | XRP Up or Down - October 25, 10AM ET | BuyUp49¢ | $1 |
| 370d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2PM ET | BuyUp49¢ | $5 |
| 370d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1PM ET | BuyUp49¢ | $5 |
| 370d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3PM ET | BuyUp49¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.