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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 15 | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 17 | 100% | +12 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| December 31 | 100% | +2 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| December 16 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 30 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 18 | 100% | +7 pts | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| December 22 | 100% | +5 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 309d | 21172 fills | December 22 | SellYes>99¢ | $12,814 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 309d |  Istaroth | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,993 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 309d | hell0pia | December 22 | SellYes>99¢ | $21,039 | −$21 −0.1% | — |
| 310d |  0xdc3E831cad | December 17 | SellYes>99¢ | $12,319 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 310d |  0x46E29dcb9cD03B9f39bf5Bf7759b07ea280EF | December 17 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 310d | haeju | December 17 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,393 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 310d |  isunou | December 17 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,943 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 310d | yougotme4 fills | December 17 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $23,117 | +$168 +0.7% | 20 |
| 310d |  AllByMyseIf2 fills | December 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,485 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 310d |  MisterSandman | December 17 | BuyYes>99¢ | $27,972 | +$28 +0.1% | 20 |
| 310d | AllByMyseIf | December 22 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,546 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 310d |  Dropper | December 17 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,163 | +$14 +0.2% | 20 |
| 310d |  aaa67 fills | December 17 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $23,017 | +$251 +1.1% | 20 |
| 310d |  0xf1434f7d6de30bfbbdfeadd075a1f40f | December 17 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $20,943 | +$148 +0.7% | 20 |
| 310d |  LINKEIN | December 17 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,575 | +$25 +0.7% | 20 |
| 310d | AllByMyseIf2 fills | December 17 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,319 | +$72 +0.9% | 20 |
| 310d |  ugodda | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,400 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 310d |  AgricultureSecretary | December 17 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,005 | +$55 +0.9% | 20 |
| 310d |  UwO10 fills | December 17 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $80,213 | +$1,586 +2.0% | 20 |
| 310d | AllByMyseIf | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,707 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 310d |  zgojo | December 17 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,028 | +$18 +0.9% | 20 |
| 310d | Mammoth-Fratricide | December 17 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,689 | +$136 +1.4% | 20 |
| 310d |  igor889 | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,394 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 310d | jaedung | December 17 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,544 | +$55 +1.2% | 20 |
| 310d | 0x066D64FA7B2e352B9000A51C6b56F531285 fills | December 17 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $17,000 | +$382 +2.2% | 20 |
| 310d | 0xE7ea64e9acF4427678febB7cc9BAEdf7995cDd42 fills | December 17 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$91 +2.0% | 20 |
| 310d | Grand-Material | December 17 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,972 | +$28 +1.4% | 20 |
| 310d | Muted-Tourist | December 17 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,566 | +$23 +0.9% | 20 |
| 310d | pitya2 fills | December 17 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $31,513 | +$687 +2.2% | 20 |
| 310d | galleydxb | December 17 | BuyNo4¢ → 0¢ | $1,499 | −$1,499 −100% | 23 |
| 310d |  garlictrump | December 17 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,404 | +$43 +3.1% | 20 |
| 310d | zgojo | December 22 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,108 | +$7 +0.6% | 20 |
| 310d |  Nobo | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,007 | +$19 +0.2% | 20 |
| 310d |  Sivert | December 17 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,617 | −$36 −2.2% | — |
| 310d | Sivert2 fills | December 17 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $11,784 | +$275 +2.3% | 20 |
| 310d | Kevindoto | December 17 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,105 | +$24 +2.2% | 20 |
| 310d |  cambridgeisaac | December 17 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$39 +2.6% | 20 |
| 310d | tdk3695 fills | December 17 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $8,394 | +$186 +2.2% | 20 |
| 310d |  arjennnnn2 fills | December 17 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,454 | +$112 +2.5% | 20 |
| 310d | 21175 fills | December 17 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,758 | +$271 +4.0% | 20 |
| 310d | ToyodaMan | December 17 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,344 | +$29 +2.1% | 20 |
| 310d |  ZynBaby2 fills | December 17 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $22,864 | +$166 +0.7% | 20 |
| 310d | qwufnr-3849j | December 17 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,753 | +$42 +1.5% | 20 |
| 310d | qwufnr-3849j | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,644 | −$11 −0.3% | — |
| 310d | JuicedBunched | December 17 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,111 | +$47 +1.5% | 20 |
| 310d | Animated-Businessman4 fills | December 17 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $16,336 | +$1,012 +6.2% | 21 |
| 310d | 2117 | December 16 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,363 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 310d | UwO | December 16 | SellNo>99¢ | $20,979 | −$21 −0.1% | — |
| 310d | aaa63 fills | December 16 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,981 | +$16 +0.1% | 20 |
| 310d | 0x066D64FA7B2e352B9000A51C6b56F531282 fills | December 18 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,252 | +$189 +2.0% | 20 |
| 310d | bean125 | December 16 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,962 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 310d | UwO3 fills | December 16 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $57,889 | +$3,379 +5.8% | 20 |
| 310d | pelik | December 16 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 310d |  TeemuPukki | December 16 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,797 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 310d |  Chims | December 16 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,041 | +$5 +0.5% | 20 |
| 310d | bignewsagency | December 17 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,251 | +$31 +0.5% | 20 |
| 310d |  The-Joker | December 16 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,341 | +$9 +0.7% | 20 |
| 310d | UwO | December 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $14,288 | +$346 +2.4% | 20 |
| 310d | ZynBaby | December 18 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,448 | +$53 +3.7% | 20 |
| 310d | redberry | December 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,219 | +$53 +2.4% | 20 |
Whogod6,763 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.0 Flash model is made available to the general public. For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.0 Flash must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.0 Flash refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.0 Flash. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for December 15 means the market gives it about 0%.