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Polymarket wallet 0xe7d7b59516b87513874fc21d38c7540c7536cc67 · on Polymarket since Sep 30, 2025 · also shown as Lumpy-Party
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 57 | 88¢ → 100¢ | $57 | +$7 +14% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 51 | 79¢ → 100¢ | $51 | +$11 +27% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 81¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +23% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 356d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo79¢ | $40 |
| 362d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyNo88¢ | $50 |
| 369d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | SellUp96¢ | $22 |
| 369d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BuyUp88¢ | $20 |
| 386d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BuyUp38¢ | $1 |
| 386d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET | BuyUp81¢ | $2 |
| 388d | Ethereum Up or Down on September 30? | BuyUp1¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.