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Polymarket wallet 0xe916ed586b69e415d67dc23538b14b7e3199467c · on Polymarket since Nov 16, 2024 · also shown as Spirited-Current
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump pardon Maduro by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Nicolas Sarkozy in jail by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Canada recession before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 347d | Nicolas Sarkozy in jail by March 31? | BuyYes19¢ | $1 |
| 347d | Canada recession before 2027? | BuyNo48¢ | $1 |
| 347d | Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? | BuyNo11¢ | $1 |
| 347d | Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 347d | US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
| 347d | Will NVIDIA reach $216 in November? | BuyNo66¢ | $1 |
| 347d | North Korea missile launch by November 15? | BuyNo94¢ | $1 |
| 347d | Will Trump pardon Maduro by December 31? | BuyNo98¢ | $1 |
| 347d | Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? | BuyYes44¢ | $1 |
| 347d | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Saudi PM events on November 18? | BuyYes74¢ | $1 |
| 707d | Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | BuyYes34¢ | $1 |
| 707d | Mike Tyson bites Jake Paul's ear? | BuyNo96¢ | $7 |
| 707d | Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | BuyYes33¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.