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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301d | tommyaltaccount | Will Trump pardon Maduro by December 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,235 | +$5 +0.4% | 20 |
| 308d |  scottilicious | Will Trump pardon Maduro by December 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,579 | −$19 −0.7% | — |
| 309d |  twe2nty | Will Trump pardon Maduro by December 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,088 | +$91 +0.9% | 20 |
| 312d | Miracle007 | Will Trump pardon Maduro by December 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,967 | +$33 +1.1% | 20 |
| 313d | ChampaLiberation | Will Trump pardon Maduro by December 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,411 | +$34 +1.4% | 20 |
| 315d |  Oompa-Loompa | Will Trump pardon Maduro by December 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,972 | +$28 +1.4% | 20 |
| 315d | scottilicious2 fills | Will Trump pardon Maduro by December 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,738 | +$183 +2.7% | 20 |
| 320d | 4bet | Will Trump pardon Maduro by December 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,178 | +$86 +4.0% | 20 |
| 322d |  DFK | Will Trump pardon Maduro by December 31? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,339 | −$66 −4.9% | — |
| 333d |  Donny.T | Will Trump pardon Maduro by December 31? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | −$53 −5.1% | — |
| 348d | QMG-CORE | Will Trump pardon Maduro by December 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,212 | +$38 +3.2% | 20 |
| 350d |  theta-thunberg | Will Trump pardon Maduro by December 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,152 | +$48 +4.2% | 20 |
cynical-reason235 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump for any charges by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.