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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 506 | 9¢ → 3¢ | $15 | −$30 −67% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 559 | 9¢ → 2¢ | $13 | −$36 −73% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170d | Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? | BuyYes9¢ | $48 |
| 170d | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BuyYes9¢ | $52 |
| 172d | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026? | BuyYes63¢ | $36 |
| 172d | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? | BuyYes76¢ | $37 |
| 187d | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 19? | SellNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 188d | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 19? | BuyNo13¢ | $24 |
| 188d | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BuyNo23¢ | $15 |
| 188d | Will Trump visit China by June 30? | BuyNo11¢ | $10 |
| 188d | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | BuyNo69¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.