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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $9.72K | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18h | fledger2 fills | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo98¢ | $3,903 | −$1 −0.0% | — |
| 2d | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 98¢ | $114,344 | −$130 −0.1% | — | |
| 3d | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo98¢ | $11,092 | −$2 −0.0% | 6 | |
| 4d | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $1,863 | −$19 −1.0% | 5 | |
| 4d | Ajjooli | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 98¢ | $1,397 | +$14 +1.0% | — |
| 15d | wqujvj6 fills | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 98¢ | $22,583 | −$264 −1.2% | — |
| 23d | wzp1985 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 98¢ | $1,159 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 31d | ApeCap2 fills | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 98¢ | $7,035 | −$40 −0.6% | — |
| 31d | Lihazazs4 fills | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 98¢ | $7,059 | −$97 −1.4% | — |
| 31d | chaoticgod3 fills | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 98¢ | $8,261 | −$108 −1.3% | — |
| 31d | LuckyBaskar | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellYes2¢ | $1,226 | +$26 +2.1% | — |
| 32d | gorovi14 fills | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 98¢ | $39,949 | −$190 −0.5% | — |
| 33d | ueep0 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellYes3¢ → 2¢ | $1,337 | +$54 +4.1% | — |
| 37d | qmmar3 fills | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 98¢ | $5,761 | −$37 −0.6% | — |
| 37d | 0x3a53…a162 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 98¢ | $4,831 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 37d | 0x3a53…a162 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo98¢ | $4,836 | +$5 +0.1% | 6 |
| 40d | thebetter1234 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo98¢ | $3,413 | +$4 +0.1% | 6 |
| 40d | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 98¢ | $9,734 | −$20 −0.2% | — | |
| 42d | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 98¢ | $9,797 | −$153 −1.6% | — | |
| 43d | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 98¢ | $136,763 | −$2,691 −2.0% | — | |
| 44d | wqujvj3 fills | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 98¢ | $13,937 | +$283 +2.0% | 7 |
| 45d | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 98¢ | $81,961 | +$2,731 +3.3% | 8 | |
| 45d | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 98¢ | $18,052 | −$107 −0.6% | — | |
| 46d | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 98¢ | $22,224 | −$335 −1.5% | — | |
| 47d | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 98¢ | $23,324 | −$264 −1.1% | — | |
| 50d | RBax2 fills | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 98¢ | $5,897 | +$151 +2.6% | 7 |
| 53d | surfing2 fills | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 98¢ | $4,504 | +$55 +1.2% | 6 |
| 56d | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 98¢ | $122,065 | −$3,833 −3.1% | — | |
| 59d | 0xaba6…0cd9 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 98¢ | $4,766 | −$70 −1.5% | — |
| 59d | 0xaba6…0cd9 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 98¢ | $4,772 | +$64 +1.3% | 6 |
| 62d | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 98¢ | $1,250 | −$14 −1.1% | — | |
| 63d | MonkeyBrains123 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $1,747 | +$20 +1.1% | 6 |
| 68d | y6tfd | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 98¢ | $1,348 | −$18 −1.3% | — |
| 69d | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 98¢ | $89,798 | −$1,114 −1.2% | — | |
| 69d | C-Ride | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 98¢ | $2,000 | +$24 +1.2% | 6 |
| 69d | 0x2ee2…6ae62 fills | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 98¢ | $2,695 | −$42 −1.5% | — |
| 69d | 0x2ee2…6ae62 fills | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 98¢ | $3,479 | +$47 +1.3% | 6 |
| 73d | anoin12315 fills | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 98¢ | $572,823 | −$6,800 −1.2% | — |
| 73d | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 98¢ | $15,504 | −$209 −1.3% | — | |
| 75d | bazooka1 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 98¢ | $2,889 | +$39 +1.3% | 6 |
| 77d | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 98¢ | $7,718 | −$239 −3.1% | — | |
| 78d | Ajjooli | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 98¢ | $1,638 | +$21 +1.3% | 6 |
| 83d | commeowder | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 98¢ | $22,714 | −$283 −1.2% | — |
| 83d | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo92¢ → 98¢ | $84,985 | +$5,245 +6.2% | 9 | |
| 84d | YoshiYamamoto3 fills | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 98¢ | $4,571 | +$115 +2.5% | 7 |
| 84d | chaoticgod4 fills | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $12,574 | +$114 +0.9% | 6 |
| 85d | Lihazazs3 fills | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $10,158 | +$90 +0.9% | 6 |
| 86d | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $3,035 | +$31 +1.0% | 6 | |
| 86d | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 98¢ | $9,641 | −$119 −1.2% | — | |
| 89d | 0x8931…a90c | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $9,160 | +$85 +0.9% | 6 |
| 91d | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $11,084 | +$126 +1.1% | 6 | |
| 92d | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 98¢ | $1,837 | +$23 +1.2% | 6 | |
| 92d | Rundown-Schoolhouse | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 98¢ | $2,992 | −$40 −1.3% | — |
| 94d | tomorrownow | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $3,281 | +$37 +1.1% | 6 |
| 95d | nelbal84867 fills | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 98¢ | $77,400 | +$2,282 +2.9% | 7 |
| 100d | fledger6 fills | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 98¢ | $26,098 | +$809 +3.1% | 8 |
| 102d | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 98¢ | $15,028 | +$328 +2.2% | 7 | |
| 104d | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo98¢ | $1,272 | +$3 +0.2% | — | |
| 109d | Poligarch | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellNo98¢ | $17,497 | +$36 +0.2% | — |
| 109d | BetPure | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellYes2¢ | $1,964 | −$538 −27% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 2¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 2%.