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Polymarket wallet 0xeb8b4cf4b0711af3501cbb325ac0b38ddb344169 · on Polymarket since Feb 5, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.2% |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be less than -1.0%?Ends in 77d | No | 1 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.8% |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 251d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyNo86¢ | $4 |
| 251d | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)? | BuyNo32¢ | $2 |
| 256d | Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31? | BuyNo99¢ | $20 |
| 256d | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026? | BuyNo98¢ | $1 |
| 256d | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15? | BuyNo60¢ | $5 |
| 256d | Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be less than -1.0%? | BuyNo97¢ | $1 |
| 256d | Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu this week? | BuyNo96¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.