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Polymarket wallet 0xebe996387239a925ad9e4c672a66a56d3afac6f8 · on Polymarket since Oct 2, 2026 · also shown as Messy-Toad
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$0 −50% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 165 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 11 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.