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Polymarket wallet 0xeed3ade7234b821a9aae80b133d729ccac2d793e · on Polymarket since Jan 7, 2026 · also shown as Sudden-Caftan
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.2% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 44¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$6 +127% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 92¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +8.7% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 57 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 38 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 50 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 62 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 229 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 422 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 9 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.