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Polymarket wallet 0xef0836534b1b5b5d4abed2e3c1ed33e72fd9a025 · on Polymarket since Nov 14, 2024 · also shown as Bold-Aid
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOP wins popular vote by 2.0-2.25%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,657 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| CA-45 election: Tran (D) vs. Steel (R)Settled - ready to redeem | Steel | 33 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,667 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| GOP wins popular vote by 2.25% or more?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 55 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| GOP wins popular vote by 1.75-2.0%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 233 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 708d | GOP wins popular vote by 2.0-2.25%? | BuyYes<1¢ | $5 |
| 708d | GOP wins popular vote by 1.75-2.0%? | BuyYes8¢ | $5 |
| 708d | GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%? | BuyYes<1¢ | $5 |
| 708d | CA-45 election: Tran (D) vs. Steel (R) | BuySteel15¢ | $5 |
| 708d | GOP wins popular vote by 2.0-2.25%? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 708d | GOP wins popular vote by 2.0-2.25%? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 708d | GOP wins popular vote by 2.25% or more? | BuyYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 708d | GOP wins popular vote by 1.75-2.0%? | BuyYes5¢ | $9 |
| 708d | Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote? | BuyYes8¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.