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Polymarket wallet 0xef55d98030094e6729a4c11a8ccb77555e671b20 · on Polymarket since Sep 25, 2025 · also shown as Esteemed-Threat
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US government shutdown in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 72 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $72 | +$1 +1.4% |
| Maduro out by November 30, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Maduro out in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 59 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 67 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 545 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$117 −100% |
| US forces in Venezuela by November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 344d | Maduro out in 2025? | BuyYes17¢ | $10 |
| 344d | Maduro out by November 30, 2025? | BuyYes9¢ | $3 |
| 344d | US forces in Venezuela by November 30? | BuyYes5¢ | $20 |
| 344d | US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? | BuyYes30¢ | $20 |
| 365d | US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24? | BuyYes13¢ | $15 |
| 365d | US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24? | BuyYes24¢ | $102 |
| 388d | US government shutdown in 2025? | BuyYes99¢ | $71 |
| 388d | NATO x Russia military clash in 2025? | SellYes16¢ | $69 |
| 393d | NATO x Russia military clash in 2025? | BuyYes15¢ | $65 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.