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Polymarket wallet 0xf1799f8e9b9b94812efb11e0bf9221592de3914d · on Polymarket since Jan 13, 2025 · also shown as Frail-Boom
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin above $114K on August 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13,685 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5,555 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 101,170 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$160 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down on August 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 28,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13,856 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$400 −100% |
| Bitcoin above $116K on August 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,797 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 148,800 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$744 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 429d | Bitcoin above $114K on August 20? | BuyYes41¢ | $5,555 |
| 430d | Bitcoin above $116K on August 20? | BuyYes6¢ | $500 |
| 433d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $244 |
| 433d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $500 |
| 434d | Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15? | BuyNo3¢ | $400 |
| 435d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14? | BuyDown5¢ | $1,000 |
| 448d | XRP Up or Down on August 1? | BuyUp<1¢ | $28 |
| 448d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BuyUp<1¢ | $160 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.