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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >112k | 100% | +21 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >118k | 0% | −1 pts | −79 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >120k | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >122k | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >124k | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >116k | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >114k | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 428d | 0xa95bfdb9 fills | >114k | BuyYes42¢ → 0¢ | $17,100 | −$17,100 −100% | 8 |
| 428d | 0xe3da…a0f9 | >114k | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $1,987 | +$1,762 +89% | 5 |
| 428d | 0xa95bfdb14 fills | >114k | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $29,047 | +$27,136 +93% | 5 |
| 428d | Xaci | >116k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,400 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 428d |  Debosnys | >114k | BuyYes84¢ → 0¢ | $4,199 | −$4,199 −100% | 3 |
| 428d | Debosnys | >112k | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,528 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 428d | 0xe3da…a0f94 fills | >114k | SellYes38¢ → 0¢ | $11,472 | +$11,472 +100% | — |
| 428d | 0xd5f5…ea4e4 fills | >114k | BuyNo44¢ → 100¢ | $11,731 | +$15,051 +128% | 7 |
| 428d | nogamblenocrypto3 fills | >114k | BuyNo33¢ → 100¢ | $4,309 | +$8,797 +204% | 9 |
| 428d | 0xb68a…c5683 fills | >114k | SellYes70¢ → 0¢ | $9,145 | +$9,145 +100% | — |
| 428d | printa5 fills | >114k | SellNo47¢ → 100¢ | $12,573 | −$14,061 −112% | — |
| 428d | 0xb68a…c5682 fills | >114k | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $5,295 | −$5,295 −100% | 9 |
| 428d | 0xb68a…c5688 fills | >114k | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $26,158 | +$18,134 +69% | 3 |
| 428d | nogamblenocrypto5 fills | >114k | SellYes38¢ → 0¢ | $11,325 | +$11,325 +100% | — |
| 428d |  Alphax2 fills | >112k | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,957 | +$139 +4.7% | 2 |
| 428d | 0xd5f5…ea4e | >114k | SellYes35¢ → 0¢ | $1,956 | +$1,956 +100% | — |
| 428d | printa2 fills | >114k | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $8,921 | +$986 +11% | 3 |
| 428d | nogamblenocrypto3 fills | >114k | BuyYes27¢ → 0¢ | $4,000 | −$4,000 −100% | 11 |
| 428d | Debosnys | >114k | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $4,150 | +$850 +20% | 3 |
| 428d | 0xe3da…a0f96 fills | >112k | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $33,312 | −$4,654 −14% | — |
| 428d | Suyoung | >118k | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,584 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 428d | 0xe3da…a0f93 fills | >114k | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $3,590 | −$3,590 −100% | 10 |
| 428d | Suyoung | >116k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,045 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 428d | 0xe3da…a0f910 fills | >112k | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $38,689 | +$9,208 +24% | 4 |
| 428d | 0xe3da…a0f93 fills | >112k | BuyNo19¢ → 0¢ | $4,262 | −$4,262 −100% | 13 |
| 428d |  HaileyWelch3 fills | >112k | BuyNo25¢ → 0¢ | $4,304 | −$4,304 −100% | 11 |
| 428d | SolDegen | >114k | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | −$100 −5.3% | — |
| 428d | SolDegen | >114k | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$100 +5.3% | 2 |
| 428d |  kiafj26 | >118k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,009 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 428d | Alphax | >112k | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | −$98 −9.7% | — |
| 428d | 0xb68a…c5686 fills | >112k | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $28,534 | +$1,176 +4.1% | 2 |
| 428d | JimmyG48 | >112k | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,224 | +$29 +2.4% | 2 |
| 428d |  stonksgoup2 fills | >114k | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $3,984 | −$3,984 −100% | 6 |
| 428d | stonksgoup | >112k | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,407 | +$331 +14% | 3 |
| 428d | stonksgoup2 fills | >114k | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $7,845 | +$1,902 +24% | 4 |
| 428d | nonkenny90 | >120k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,493 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 429d | Civil-Engineering-Dog | >112k | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,123 | +$40 +3.5% | 2 |
| 429d | 0xd5f5…ea4e3 fills | >118k | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $7,773 | +$2,838 +37% | 3 |
| 429d |  VinnyViral3 fills | >112k | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $13,406 | +$1,291 +9.6% | 3 |
| 429d | savagee | >118k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,809 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 429d | petya | >120k | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,695 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 429d | petya | >122k | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,271 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 429d | Concord2025 | >112k | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | +$117 +11% | 3 |
| 429d | DonaldKey | >114k | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $5,555 | −$5,555 −100% | 7 |
| 429d | saijunli | >112k | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,734 | +$291 +11% | 3 |
| 429d | Bouncy-Mountain | >112k | BuyNo14¢ → 0¢ | $1,002 | −$1,002 −100% | 4 |
| 429d | HaileyWelch3 fills | >112k | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $11,633 | +$3,007 +26% | 3 |
| 429d | 0xb5fc…5ca4 | >114k | BuyYes24¢ → 0¢ | $1,118 | −$1,118 −100% | 5 |
| 429d | 0xb5fc…5ca42 fills | >112k | BuyNo25¢ → 0¢ | $3,033 | −$3,033 −100% | 9 |
| 429d | HaileyWelch | >114k | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $3,128 | +$882 +28% | 3 |
| 429d | 0xb5fc…5ca42 fills | >114k | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $6,950 | −$3,050 −44% | — |
| 429d | 0xb5fc…5ca43 fills | >120k | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $11,887 | +$568 +4.8% | 2 |
| 429d | 0xd5f5…ea4e | >122k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,147 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 429d | Crowded-ThermometerNew account | >124k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,331 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 429d | affs20791 | >112k | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,065 | +$435 +21% | 3 |
| 429d | sergay | >124k | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,334 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 429d | 0xb68a…c568 | >114k | SellNo64¢ → 100¢ | $3,200 | −$1,800 −56% | — |
| 429d | 0xb5fc…5ca42 fills | >114k | BuyNo44¢ → 100¢ | $4,544 | +$5,767 +127% | 5 |
| 429d | 0xb68a…c568 | >124k | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,273 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 429d | Hashbrown | >118k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,935 | +$65 +1.3% | 2 |
stonksgoup2,906 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >112k means the market gives it about 100%.