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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 145 | 45¢ → 100¢ | $145 | +$80 +122% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 63¢ → 100¢ | $16 | +$6 +59% |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$1 +6.4% |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Ends in 818d | No | 26 | 38¢ → 22¢ | $6 | −$4 −43% |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 164d | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes45¢ | $57 |
| 164d | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes45¢ | $10 |
| 179d | U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | BuyNo94¢ | $10 |
| 179d | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BuyYes50¢ | $10 |
| 179d | Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | BuyNo38¢ | $10 |
| 179d | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | BuyYes59¢ | $10 |
| 179d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BuyNo63¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.