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Polymarket wallet 0xf27c087cd0e6640505b21e027a9f4f9c47e0b5d8 · on Polymarket since Jun 20, 2025 · also shown as Blushing-Cap
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 237 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$118 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12,097 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,032 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,663 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$203 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,318 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$87 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,133 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$114 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16,820 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,925 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 589 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$244 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,901 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$94 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.