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Polymarket wallet 0xf3413074052d4d228669e2cab74c6455654c2a70 · on Polymarket since Jan 7, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 37¢ → 100¢ | $15 | +$10 +170% |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 67 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Swiss National Bank increases policy rate after March Meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 48 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 25 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 97 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 23 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 260d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3PM ET | BuyUp42¢ | $10 |
| 268d | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30? | BuyNo10¢ | $1 |
| 268d | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BuyNo4¢ | $2 |
| 268d | Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? | BuyYes9¢ | $2 |
| 268d | Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January? | BuyNo18¢ | $4 |
| 268d | Swiss National Bank increases policy rate after March Meeting? | BuyYes7¢ | $2 |
| 268d | Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes37¢ | $6 |
| 268d | Will the US strike Iran next? | BuyYes10¢ | $10 |
| 268d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo24¢ | $16 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.