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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Putin | 0% | −3 pts | −10 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Emmanuel Macron | 100% | — | +35 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Friedrich Merz | 100% | +59 pts | +30 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 100% | +5 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nicolás Maduro | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ursula von der Leyen | 0% | −2 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Xi Jinping | 0% | −2 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jerome Powell | 0% | −4 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kim Jong Un | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jensen Huang | 100% | +28 pts | +55 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Satya Nadella | 100% | +34 pts | +64 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| María Corina Machado | 100% | +1 pts | +10 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| MrBeast | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pope Leo XIV | 0% | −5 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Keir Starmer | 100% | +15 pts | +25 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mohammed bin Salman | 100% | +5 pts | +46 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Giorgia Meloni | 100% | +15 pts | +37 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kaja Kallas | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 262d | aBeanCounter | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,678 | +$16 +0.1% | 4 |
| 262d |  Infringe3 fills | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,400 | +$238 +3.2% | 4 |
| 262d |  neetbets | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,852 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 262d |  fml1232 fills | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,813 | +$403 +11% | 4 |
| 262d | Infringe3 fills | Vladimir Putin | SellNo>99¢ | $12,785 | −$50 −0.4% | — |
| 262d |  aaa616 fills | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $51,700 | +$5,197 +10% | 4 |
| 262d | aaa62 fills | Vladimir Putin | SellNo>99¢ | $7,976 | −$24 −0.3% | — |
| 262d | alliswell3 fills | Vladimir Putin | SellNo>99¢ | $259,885 | −$321 −0.1% | — |
| 262d |  duderr | Vladimir Putin | SellNo>99¢ | $4,435 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 262d | khalidakup2 fills | Vladimir Putin | SellNo>99¢ | $5,089 | −$18 −0.4% | — |
| 263d | 0xff0b…befa | Vladimir Putin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,687 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 263d |  HolyMoses7 | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 263d |  Naichli | Vladimir Putin | SellNo>99¢ | $4,990 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 263d | duderr | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,988 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 263d |  twe2nty | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo>99¢ | $49,950 | +$50 +0.1% | 4 |
| 263d |  456ythgbvcadscvb | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,889 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 263d | hesitant | Vladimir Putin | SellNo>99¢ | $2,495 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 263d |  choppah | Vladimir Putin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,788 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 263d | Skaliz | Vladimir Putin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,774 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 263d | pelik2 fills | Vladimir Putin | SellNo>99¢ | $4,232 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 263d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b048 fills | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $74,114 | +$1,114 +1.5% | 4 |
| 263d |  AngryRhino | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo>99¢ | $35,928 | +$72 +0.2% | 4 |
| 263d |  theta-thunberg | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 263d | Naichli3 fills | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $12,835 | +$665 +5.2% | 4 |
| 263d |  RememberAmalek3 fills | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $22,283 | +$871 +3.9% | 5 |
| 263d | Complex-TrainingNew account | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 263d |  classified | Vladimir Putin | SellNo>99¢ | $15,788 | −$32 −0.2% | — |
| 263d | Dapper-Grandfather | Vladimir Putin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,996 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 263d | Simon4s | Vladimir Putin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,497 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 263d | Thrifty-CystNew account | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,539 | +$13 +0.2% | 4 |
| 263d |  TylerTurden2 fills | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,729 | +$9 +0.2% | 4 |
| 263d |  bamesjond | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,481 | +$9 +0.2% | 4 |
| 263d | rwo2 fills | Vladimir Putin | SellNo>99¢ | $8,323 | −$17 −0.2% | — |
| 263d |  sorcerer.092 fills | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,077 | +$32 +0.4% | 4 |
| 263d |  HowToBasic | Vladimir Putin | SellNo>99¢ | $9,980 | −$20 −0.2% | — |
| 263d | HowToBasic4 fills | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $40,586 | +$419 +1.0% | 4 |
| 263d | dzsibenaja2 fills | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,997 | +$44 +0.2% | 4 |
| 263d |  Rr55 | Vladimir Putin | SellNo>99¢ | $2,914 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 263d | haeju | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,067 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 263d |  ClaudeAI | Vladimir Putin | SellNo>99¢ | $458,168 | −$918 −0.2% | — |
| 263d | Blond-Dragon | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 263d |  Mr-Krabs | Vladimir Putin | SellNo>99¢ | $8,152 | −$16 −0.2% | — |
| 263d | classified | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,548 | +$27 +0.2% | 4 |
| 263d | poorsob2 fills | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $22,628 | +$450 +2.0% | 4 |
| 263d |  0xdc3E831cad | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,113 | +$44 +0.2% | 4 |
| 263d | fml123 | Vladimir Putin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,230 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 263d | continues | Vladimir Putin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,434 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 263d | Lumbering-Hypochondria | Vladimir Putin | SellNo>99¢ | $2,080 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 263d | SlenderMan | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,051 | +$30 +0.2% | 4 |
| 263d | ClaudeAI | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo>99¢ | $258,518 | +$568 +0.2% | 4 |
| 263d |  The-Joker3 fills | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,229 | +$197 +2.7% | 4 |
| 263d |  hotpotato8813 fills | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,303 | +$287 +5.4% | 4 |
| 263d | The-Joker | Vladimir Putin | SellNo>99¢ | $5,792 | −$23 −0.4% | — |
| 263d | Pantheon1 | Vladimir Putin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,265 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 263d |  Dasior2 fills | Vladimir Putin | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,180 | −$79 −2.5% | — |
| 263d | MistahFox | Vladimir Putin | SellNo>99¢ | $7,790 | −$23 −0.3% | — |
| 263d |  Burnmoneyuser | Vladimir Putin | SellNo>99¢ | $3,329 | −$10 −0.3% | — |
| 263d | snoopy-1978 | Vladimir Putin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,040 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 263d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly11 fills | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $120,907 | +$2,377 +2.0% | 4 |
| 263d | hotpotato8813 fills | Vladimir Putin | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $19,333 | −$290 −1.5% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between January 1 and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Vladimir Putin means the market gives it about 0%.