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Polymarket wallet 0xf39fd9eb2bf7f65291de1ec4e111fe8ae4c283bf · on Polymarket since Aug 29, 2026 · also shown as Sophisticated-Honoree-Populist
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 48,245 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $46,605 | +$1,709 +3.8% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 16,456 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $15,304 | +$904 +6.3% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 17,781 | 78¢ → 83¢ | $14,670 | +$760 +5.5% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 7,845 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $7,606 | +$310 +4.2% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 7,921 | 84¢ → 89¢ | $7,010 | +$356 +5.4% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 5,989 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $4,941 | −$30 −0.6% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 3,200 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $3,048 | +$60 +2.0% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 2,804 | 76¢ → 76¢ | $2,117 | −$12 −0.6% |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 155 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $145 | −$2 −1.2% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.