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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$0 +7.8% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$0 +7.5% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) hit $505 before 2026??Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 85¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$1 +18% |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 315d | Will Tesla (TSLA) hit $505 before 2026?? | BuyNo85¢ | $3 |
| 315d | Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31? | BuyNo89¢ | $2 |
| 320d | Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | BuyYes42¢ | $3 |
| 320d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes93¢ | $4 |
| 320d | Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31? | BuyNo97¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.