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Polymarket wallet 0xf3c0e9036f7d179c0aa87d61fd08223cd938293b · on Polymarket since Jun 21, 2025 · also shown as Delightful-Cow
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | No | 2,581 | 8¢ → <1¢ | $6 | −$211 −97% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,174 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,680 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,027 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4d | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? | BuyNo3¢ | $100 |
| 4d | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | BuyNo8¢ | $217 |
| 244d | US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $50 |
| 248d | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | BuyYes31¢ | $2,000 |
| 285d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 8AM ET | BuyUp39¢ | $6 |
| 285d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 8AM ET | BuyDown59¢ | $6 |
| 287d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes23¢ | $500 |
| 295d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes19¢ | $1,000 |
| 330d | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet? | BuyYes95¢ | $5,800 |
| 332d | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025? | BuyNo76¢ | $1,000 |
| 334d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo86¢ | $5,000 |
| 479d | Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | BuyYes92¢ | $5,574 |
| 490d | US military action against Iran by Monday? | BuyYes36¢ | $1,985 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 9 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.