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Polymarket wallet 0xf40fb502a90cdd0f96b1c432391ee0588b58a2f5 · on Polymarket since Nov 24, 2025 · also shown as Sticky-Drainage
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 28¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$3 +257% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 50 | 24¢ → 6¢ | $3 | −$9 −77% |
| Will Israel strike Iraq by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.3% |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 52¢ → 50¢ | $2 | −$0 −3.8% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 76¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +32% |
| Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 84¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +19% |
| Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 87¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +15% |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.0% |
| US national XRP reserve in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Ends in 67d | Yes | 4 | 24¢ → 12¢ | $0 | −$1 −50% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 10 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.