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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 295d | alliswell | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $56,325 | +$56 +0.1% | 4 |
| 295d | LBZone3 fills | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,750 | +$33 +0.4% | 4 |
| 295d |  basedcigany2 fills | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,131 | +$15 +0.1% | 4 |
| 295d |  ULYSSES18 | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,233 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d | yzibacked | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,638 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d | yyyyyyyyyyyyyyang | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,990 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 297d |  classified | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,801 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 297d | iamtheworst | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,267 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 299d | FUTBALL | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,940 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 302d |  blindmaninanorgy2 fills | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,681 | −$24 −0.9% | — |
| 303d | helloiamworld | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,481 | +$7 +0.3% | 4 |
| 303d | mossadagent2 | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,067 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 304d | thiccshady | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,067 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
| 304d | beatingheart | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,666 | +$7 +0.4% | 4 |
| 305d | kekw | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$12 +0.4% | 4 |
| 308d |  MrBacteria | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | −$9 −0.9% | — |
| 308d | erik50 | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,241 | −$10 −0.8% | — |
| 308d |  scottilicious3 fills | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,837 | −$163 −1.7% | — |
| 309d | Ikkk852 | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,006 | +$14 +0.7% | 4 |
| 310d | ElectricSamurai | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,309 | −$30 −0.7% | — |
| 310d | iliabouchouev | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,656 | +$10 +0.6% | 4 |
| 311d |  TylerTurden | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,980 | −$33 −0.7% | — |
| 312d | Rzlk | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | −$8 −0.7% | — |
| 312d | jimmyhasballs | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,738 | +$51 +0.5% | 4 |
| 313d |  zthunderfury | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | +$10 +0.8% | 4 |
| 315d | 0x552702e9e7969eab6518426a94ab2813d4f36c862 fills | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,045 | +$218 +3.1% | 4 |
| 317d | Excitable-Chorus | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,755 | +$99 +1.0% | 4 |
| 318d | bitbin | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,986 | −$37 −1.9% | — |
| 319d | bitbin | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$23 +1.2% | 4 |
| 320d | jjjtesty2 fills | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,733 | −$67 −2.4% | — |
| 322d | TylerTurden2 fills | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,920 | +$80 +2.0% | 4 |
| 323d | rallyyy | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,540 | −$82 −2.3% | — |
| 324d | BTC-WHALE | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,750 | +$80 +2.1% | 4 |
| 325d | WAGGY | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,037 | −$88 −2.9% | — |
| 326d | ppp666 | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,645 | −$78 −2.9% | — |
| 326d |  tbarcelo | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,194 | −$31 −2.6% | — |
| 326d | tiago | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,114 | −$30 −2.7% | — |
| 327d | FragMalDenRalle | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,554 | −$220 −2.9% | — |
| 327d |  Asymmetric | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,664 | +$79 +2.1% | 4 |
| 328d | jjjtesty | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | +$26 +2.2% | 4 |
| 328d | big6big8 | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,043 | +$136 +2.2% | 4 |
| 329d | momom | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$139 +2.8% | 4 |
| 329d | tbarcelo | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,191 | +$34 +2.9% | 4 |
| 330d | dq94 | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | −$49 −4.1% | — |
| 332d | jeffhardy | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,543 | −$89 −3.5% | — |
| 334d | Jest552 fills | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | −$76 −3.1% | — |
| 338d |  ondra1235 fills | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $13,984 | −$516 −3.7% | — |
| 338d |  lavendertown2 fills | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,991 | −$101 −3.4% | — |
| 338d | lavendertown | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$54 +2.7% | 4 |
| 339d | rallyyy | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$122 +3.5% | 4 |
| 339d | furylove | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,923 | +$70 +3.6% | 4 |
| 340d | sddfgght | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,157 | +$43 +3.7% | 4 |
| 340d | erikv | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,822 | −$72 −3.9% | — |
| 340d | erikv | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,824 | +$70 +3.8% | 4 |
| 340d |  0xdc3E831cad | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,138 | −$56 −4.9% | — |
| 340d | aeaeaaee | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyYes4¢ → 0¢ | $1,045 | −$1,045 −100% | 4 |
| 340d | momo513 | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$257 +2.6% | 4 |
| 341d | blindmaninanorgy | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,362 | +$41 +3.0% | 4 |
| 343d |  emcor2 fills | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,522 | −$266 −4.8% | — |
| 344d |  l33cher | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,102 | −$75 −3.5% | — |
1am-8745,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a nuclear weapon is detonated anywhere in the world between January 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market's resolution, any detonation of a nuclear weapon anywhere on the planet Earth or in space will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution. This includes offensive usages, nuclear tests, and accidental detonations. Use/launch of a nuclear weapon that fails to detonate, a fake weapon that never detonates, or a dirty bomb that distributes radioactive material by means of a conventional explosion are not sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution of this market. Only a successful nuclear detonation will result in a "Yes" resolution. This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as a nuclear detonation is confirmed by a preponderance of credible reporting. For the purpose of this market's resolution, determination as to whether a detonation was nuclear will be made by a preponderance of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.