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Polymarket wallet 0xf4b8378b4da8021ed166b0429ef3b96c8a43d645 · on Polymarket since Oct 21, 2025 · also shown as Complicated-Gerbil
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards vs. PistonsSettled - ready to redeem | Wizards | 6 | 18¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$5 +456% |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during 2pm signing?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 54 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during 2pm signing?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 96 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Knicks vs. WizardsSettled - ready to redeem | Wizards | 6 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Criminal" during 2pm signing?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StageSettled - ready to redeem | REKONIX | 253 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 262d | Wizards vs. Pistons | BuyWizards18¢ | $1 |
| 262d | Knicks vs. Wizards | BuyWizards18¢ | $1 |
| 262d | Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 262d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo<1¢ | $5 |
| 262d | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during 2pm signing? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 262d | Will Trump say "Criminal" during 2pm signing? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
| 262d | Will Trump say "Fake News" during 2pm signing? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 262d | Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | BuyREKONIX<1¢ | $1 |
| 262d | Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | BuyYes<1¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.