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Polymarket wallet 0xf53900685ca73097b84f773d96da9f6a500e6c6a · on Polymarket since Nov 15, 2024 · also shown as Lucky-Spec
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 8,537 | 82¢ → 93¢ | $7,896 | +$896 +13% |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 4,000 | 87¢ → >99¢ | $3,998 | +$510 +15% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,000 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,550 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20,000 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15,000 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8,000 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,960 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15,000 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13,650 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 29 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.