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Polymarket wallet 0xf60fd55d6f001930cb56acf591868f04ad398ea9 · on Polymarket since Oct 8, 2026 · also shown as Irritating-Vanadyl-Belt
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 26 | 39¢ → 27¢ | $7 | −$3 −31% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 17 | 29¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$4 −78% |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 45 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes39¢ | $10 |
| 5d | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026? | SellYes36¢ | $4 |
| 9d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BuyYes29¢ | $5 |
| 9d | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 15, 2026? | BuyYes16¢ | $1 |
| 9d | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 21, 2026? | SellYes12¢ | $28 |
| 10d | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 16, 2026? | BuyYes10¢ | $1 |
| 10d | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 21, 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 10d | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026? | BuyYes9¢ | $1 |
| 10d | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 19, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 15d | Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | BuyYes58¢ | $10 |
| 15d | Gemini 4.0 released by October 9, 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.