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Polymarket wallet 0xf844a2a80e4820c91540595519743d102be3bc5f · on Polymarket since Jul 2, 2025 · also shown as Firsthand-Captain
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 60¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +67% |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 71 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 199d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyYes60¢ | $1 |
| 222d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BuyYes32¢ | $1 |
| 235d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | BuyUp40¢ | $1 |
| 246d | US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.