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Polymarket wallet 0xf8d001baac732529d7b51e2686ade2ae0e5159f7 · on Polymarket since Dec 23, 2025
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic vs. CavaliersSettled - ready to redeem | Cavaliers | 2 | 69¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +45% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 138 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 107 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$65 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 270d | Magic vs. Cavaliers | BuyCavaliers69¢ | $2 |
| 296d | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SellNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 296d | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | SellNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 304d | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BuyYes28¢ | $39 |
| 304d | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | BuyYes61¢ | $65 |
| 304d | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BuyNo15¢ | $50 |
| 304d | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | BuyNo12¢ | $57 |
| 304d | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | BuyNo12¢ | $3 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.