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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,784 | 48¢ → 20¢ | $348 | −$509 −59% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,623 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,243 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 141d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes12¢ | $500 |
| 141d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes11¢ | $300 |
| 161d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes48¢ | $857 |
| 161d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes12¢ | $448 |
| 161d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $358 |
| 168d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | SellYes>99¢ | $6,686 |
| 192d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes10¢ | $695 |
| 195d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $992 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.