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Polymarket wallet 0xfc196a96fb2c030c9430579f6fbe7c7f422413f7 · on Polymarket since Nov 6, 2025 · also shown as Dear-Facsimile
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1,080 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $1,056 | +$56 +5.6% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 809 | 86¢ → 100¢ | $809 | +$109 +16% |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 308 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $285 | +$5 +1.6% |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Settled - ready to redeem | ETH | 154 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80d | Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | BuyNo91¢ | $281 |
| 80d | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BuyYes86¢ | $704 |
| 114d | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BuyYes90¢ | $100 |
| 187d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyNo93¢ | $1,000 |
| 296d | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ | $1,000 |
| 352d | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyETH52¢ | $80 |
| 352d | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ | $200 |
| 352d | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ | $200 |
| 352d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 6? | BuyYes96¢ | $3 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.