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Polymarket wallet 0xfc2644ea9f24c46450a338eca58f7ec0b559cc42 · on Polymarket since Jan 4, 2026 · also shown as Definitive-Jail
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,900 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 885 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will Mali win on 2026-01-09?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 205 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,600 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on January 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,091 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$58 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 16 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.