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Polymarket wallet 0xfd000964e08c215eb57663fbac6fc3293da5532a · on Polymarket since Oct 14, 2026 · also shown as Quintessential-Contention
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 39¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$3 +156% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 390 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BuyDown39¢ | $2 |
| 2h | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | SellDown77¢ | $12 |
| 2h | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BuyDown45¢ | $8 |
| 2h | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | SellDown96¢ | $58 |
| 2h | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BuyDown74¢ | $46 |
| 7h | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BuyDown80¢ | $5 |
| 21h | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | BuyYes2¢ | $9 |
| 21h | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SellYes34¢ | $509 |
| 10d | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BuyYes24¢ | $2 |
| 10d | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BuyYes24¢ | $324 |
| 10d | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SellYes23¢ | $38 |
| 10d | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BuyYes22¢ | $77 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.