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Polymarket wallet 0xfd615ba5ac176f3bc4da7da9f32cbf826c55a434 · on Polymarket since Feb 1, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 145 | 10¢ → 11¢ | $15 | +$1 +9.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 53 | 19¢ → 22¢ | $11 | +$1 +13% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 792 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $6 | −$5 −42% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 63 | 8¢ → 6¢ | $3 | −$2 −31% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 1d | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | SellYes9¢ | $1 |
| 30d | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BuyYes9¢ | $10 |
| 30d | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31? | BuyYes2¢ | $10 |
| 54d | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BuyYes8¢ | $5 |
| 54d | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BuyYes11¢ | $5 |
| 54d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes19¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.