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Polymarket wallet 0xfda417b66c17517c71c1cb3a77ad5756b229af27 · on Polymarket since Jan 14, 2026 · also shown as Better-Deviation
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 75¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$1 +33% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 36 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 151 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 184d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BuyDown74¢ | $2 |
| 184d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BuyUp54¢ | $20 |
| 250d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | SellDown8¢ | $1 |
| 250d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | BuyDown57¢ | $10 |
| 250d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | SellUp2¢ | $1 |
| 250d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | BuyUp66¢ | $30 |
| 250d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | SellDown72¢ | $14 |
| 250d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | BuyDown51¢ | $10 |
| 250d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BuyUp51¢ | $10 |
| 250d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | BuyDown82¢ | $37 |
| 273d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23? | SellUp3¢ | $2 |
| 273d | U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | BuyNo33¢ | $49 |
| 274d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23? | BuyUp63¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.