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Polymarket wallet 0xfec84ba946b063d57580366e02e97a18c75167f7 · on Polymarket since Aug 10, 2024
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | No | 1,136 | 88¢ → 65¢ | $733 | −$267 −27% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,168 | 64¢ → 23¢ | $263 | −$487 −65% |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 330 | 30¢ → 9¢ | $30 | −$70 −70% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Ends in 70d | Yes | 55 | 54¢ → 38¢ | $21 | −$9 −31% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 82 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$78 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,283 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released between May 25 and May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.