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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erling Braut Haaland | 38% | — | −7 pts | 34¢ · 41¢ (7¢) | $30 | in 159d |
| Alysa Liu | 21% | — | — | 20¢ · 22¢ (2¢) | — | in 159d |
| Lionel Messi | 8% | — | +2 pts | 6¢ · 10¢ (4¢) | — | in 159d |
| Anthony Joshua | 5% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 9¢ (8¢) | — | in 159d |
| Folarin Balogun | 4% | — | 0 pts | 2¢ · 7¢ (5¢) | — | in 159d |
| Arch Manning | 4% | — | — | <1¢ · 8¢ (8¢) | — | in 159d |
| Lindsey Vonn | 4% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 8¢ (8¢) | — | in 68d |
| Lamine Yamal | 4% | — | 0 pts | 3¢ · 5¢ (2¢) | — | in 159d |
| Jalen Brunson | 4% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 3¢ · 5¢ (2¢) | — | in 159d |
| Ilia Malinin | 3% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 6¢ (6¢) | — | in 159d |
| Kylian Mbappé | 2% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 159d |
| Conor McGregor | 2% | — | — | <1¢ · 4¢ (4¢) | — | in 159d |
| Kenneth Walker III | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 159d |
| Rodri | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 159d |
| LeBron James | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 159d |
| Victor Wembanyama | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 159d |
| Pau Cubarsí | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 159d |
| Alexander Zverev | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 159d |
| Rory McIlroy | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 159d |
| Drake Maye | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 159d |
| Christian Pulisic | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 159d |
| Cooper Flagg | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 159d |
| Tyson Fury | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 159d |
| Jon Jones | <1% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 159d |
| Max Holloway | <1% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 159d |
| Shedeur Sanders | <1% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 159d |
| Sam Darnold | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 159d |
| Jannik Sinner | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 159d |
| Maikel García | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 159d |
| Ilia Topuria | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 159d |
| Chloe Kim | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 159d |
| Caitlin Clark | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 159d |
| Carlos Alcaraz | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 159d |
| Jake Paul | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 159d |
| Travis Kelce | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 159d |
| Deshaun Watson | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 159d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82d | KiernanMeister | Lionel Messi | BuyNo91¢ → 92¢ | $3,353 | +$40 +1.2% | 4 |
| 82d | KiernanMeister | Rodri | BuyNo90¢ → 99¢ | $5,432 | +$532 +9.8% | 4 |
Hyperlong375 shares
doil220 shares
jwd103103200 shares
PaddyAlpha749 shares
chicanery.400 shares
hochnaesigezicke174 sharesThis market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global “Athletes” list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Sports → Athletes. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 38¢ for Erling Braut Haaland means the market gives it about 38%.