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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolly Parton | 61% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 61¢ · 61¢ (<1¢) | $27.2 | in 158d |
| Hayden Panettiere | 18% | — | — | 17¢ · 19¢ (2¢) | — | in 67d |
| Oliver Tree | 11% | — | +1 pts | 10¢ · 12¢ (2¢) | — | in 158d |
| Ali Khamenei | 5% | — | 0 pts | 4¢ · 5¢ (1¢) | — | in 158d |
| Chuck Norris | 3% | +1 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 158d |
| Kyle Busch | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 158d |
| Catherine O'Hara | 2% | 0 pts | +1 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 158d |
| Nancy Guthrie | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 67d |
| Lindsey Graham | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 158d |
| Bonnie Tyler | 1% | +1 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 158d |
| Eric Dane | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 158d |
| Bob Weir | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 158d |
| Victor Willis | <1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 158d |
| David Hockney | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 158d |
| Nicholas Brendon | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 158d |
| Robert Duvall | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 158d |
| Jesse Jackson | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 158d |
| Clive Davis | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 158d |
| Sam Neill | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 158d |
| Scott Adams | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 158d |
| Alex Pretti | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 158d |
| James Van Der Beek | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 158d |
| Ted Turner | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 158d |
| Valentino Garavani | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 158d |
| Alan Greenspan | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 158d |
| Renée Good | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 158d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8d |  FeetGoddessTaylorSwift | Hayden Panettiere | SellNo88¢ → 82¢ | $2,356 | +$149 +6.3% | — |
| 59d | Spiffy-Win | Oliver Tree | BuyNo79¢ → 89¢ | $3,226 | +$417 +13% | 4 |
| 79d |  FrozenParasite | Chuck Norris | SellNo75¢ → 97¢ | $1,072 | −$316 −30% | — |
| 79d | FrozenParasite | Chuck Norris | BuyNo66¢ → 97¢ | $1,140 | +$532 +47% | 4 |
| 81d | KiernanMeister | Ali Khamenei | BuyNo77¢ → 95¢ | $1,737 | +$411 +24% | 4 |
| 81d |  Dragontree | Ali Khamenei | BuyNo67¢ → 95¢ | $2,069 | +$858 +41% | 4 |
| 81d | Dragontree | Catherine O'Hara | BuyNo91¢ → 98¢ | $1,566 | +$133 +8.5% | 4 |
h0ip0ll0i100 shares
PaddyAlpha1,832 shares
chicanery.288 shares
ElonJail200 shares
LornaPredicts188 shares
Gr4pefruit700037 sharesThis market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search United States "Passings" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to United States. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through United States → Trending → Passings. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 61¢ for Dolly Parton means the market gives it about 61%.