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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimi Antonelli | 97% | −1 pts | 0 pts | 97¢ · 98¢ (1¢) | $25K | in 43d |
| Max Verstappen | 2% | +1 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $8.8K | in 43d |
| Lewis Hamilton | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $687 | in 43d |
| Lando Norris | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | $10.2 | in 43d |
| George Russell | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | $30.2 | in 43d |
| Charles Leclerc | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $5.13 | in 43d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9h | 0F6229 fills | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes98¢ → 97¢ | $69,818 | −$484 −0.7% | 5 |
| 12h | 0x127e…3dd8 | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes98¢ → 97¢ | $4,534 | +$8 +0.2% | — |
| 3d | peepeepooppoop | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes98¢ → 97¢ | $1,142 | +$1 +0.1% | — |
| 4d | mm4ker | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes98¢ → 97¢ | $3,539 | +$5 +0.1% | — |
| 5d |  csxjp | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes98¢ → 97¢ | $1,958 | −$10 −0.5% | 4 |
| 6d |  toasun | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes98¢ → 97¢ | $1,950 | +$2 +0.1% | — |
| 7d | Gladius76 fills | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes85¢ → 97¢ | $12,355 | −$1,883 −15% | — |
| 8d | momo513 | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes97¢ | $1,576 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | formula-192 fills | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes96¢ → 97¢ | $7,569 | −$95 −1.3% | — |
| 12d | e46m33 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $3,561 | −$21 −0.6% | 5 |
| 12d |  gmgmgmgmg3 fills | George Russell | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,589 | +$9 +0.2% | 4 |
| 12d | gmgmgmgmg2 fills | Lando Norris | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,395 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 12d |  JustClickeverywhere2 fills | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,397 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 12d | e46m3 | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,198 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 12d | lenny4878 | Max Verstappen | SellNo98¢ | $4,078 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 12d |  Morbuu | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes98¢ → 97¢ | $1,090 | +$6 +0.5% | — |
| 12d | donthackme2 fills | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,914 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 12d | donthackme2 fills | George Russell | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,605 | +$7 +0.3% | 4 |
| 12d | donthackme2 fills | Lando Norris | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,911 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 12d | donthackme2 fills | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,686 | +$9 +0.4% | 4 |
| 12d | donthackme2 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $2,892 | −$23 −0.8% | 5 |
| 12d | e46m3 | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 12d | JustClickeverywhere | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $1,193 | +$5 +0.5% | 4 |
| 12d | gmgmgmgmg | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $1,191 | +$7 +0.6% | 4 |
| 12d | e46m3 | Lando Norris | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,197 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 13d | Tobias19093 fills | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes78¢ → 97¢ | $19,001 | −$4,589 −24% | — |
| 13d |  hxfxiaox | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes94¢ → 97¢ | $8,483 | −$278 −3.3% | — |
| 13d |  Ryxon218 fills | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes81¢ → 97¢ | $13,543 | +$2,719 +20% | 17 |
| 15d | zctrading | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes97¢ | $1,898 | +$12 +0.6% | 5 |
| 16d |  deftker | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes97¢ | $1,423 | +$9 +0.6% | 4 |
| 18d | pp101 | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes96¢ → 97¢ | $1,112 | −$14 −1.2% | — |
| 19d | SplendidAmadeus2 fills | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes97¢ | $4,712 | +$24 +0.5% | 6 |
| 19d | 0x127e…3dd87 fills | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes93¢ → 97¢ | $24,253 | +$1,099 +4.5% | 9 |
| 19d | xianzhongdaddy | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes96¢ → 97¢ | $1,852 | −$25 −1.4% | — |
| 19d | nonkenny90 | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes97¢ | $2,126 | +$7 +0.3% | 5 |
| 21d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes92¢ → 97¢ | $1,330 | −$81 −6.1% | — |
| 23d | DueDiligenceDan2 fills | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes92¢ → 97¢ | $4,563 | −$258 −5.7% | — |
| 25d | mm11 | Max Verstappen | SellNo>99¢ → 98¢ | $1,212 | +$16 +1.4% | — |
| 25d | mm11 | Max Verstappen | BuyNo>99¢ → 98¢ | $1,214 | −$18 −1.5% | 4 |
| 26d |  ImOldBruceWayne | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes91¢ → 97¢ | $3,598 | −$242 −6.7% | — |
| 27d | Tender-Sombrero | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes91¢ → 97¢ | $1,166 | −$77 −6.6% | — |
| 27d | formula-19 | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes91¢ → 97¢ | $1,217 | +$90 +7.4% | 5 |
| 27d | neutralwave23 | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes90¢ → 97¢ | $1,813 | −$155 −8.5% | — |
| 28d | oilboil | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes91¢ → 97¢ | $1,300 | +$97 +7.5% | 5 |
| 28d | yoyobb2018 | Lando Norris | SellNo97¢ → >99¢ | $1,358 | −$41 −3.0% | — |
| 28d |  betdge | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes90¢ → 97¢ | $8,382 | −$692 −8.3% | — |
| 28d | Rentabar3 fills | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes80¢ → 97¢ | $8,596 | −$1,853 −22% | — |
| 28d | lucas10 | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes91¢ → 97¢ | $2,785 | −$195 −7.0% | — |
| 30d | DueDiligenceDan2 fills | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes93¢ → 97¢ | $3,707 | +$163 +4.4% | 7 |
| 33d | MagzK | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes92¢ → 97¢ | $2,890 | −$162 −5.6% | — |
| 35d | MontshlyGUY | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,085 | +$4 +0.4% | 4 |
| 37d | zinman | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes92¢ → 97¢ | $2,506 | −$134 −5.4% | — |
| 38d | kelvinbm | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes93¢ → 97¢ | $1,211 | +$59 +4.8% | 5 |
| 39d | grjyt75eryt654ter | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $1,100 | +$5 +0.5% | 4 |
| 39d | champi | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes91¢ → 97¢ | $1,232 | −$87 −7.1% | — |
| 40d | V1nch0u2 fills | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes91¢ → 97¢ | $2,998 | −$228 −7.6% | — |
| 40d |  4751346 | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes90¢ → 97¢ | $17,999 | +$1,481 +8.2% | 11 |
| 40d | neutralwave23 | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes90¢ → 97¢ | $1,813 | +$155 +8.5% | 6 |
| 40d |  merch | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes88¢ → 97¢ | $1,397 | +$151 +11% | 6 |
| 41d | V1nch0u | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes86¢ → 97¢ | $4,187 | +$578 +14% | 10 |
DickTurbin70,006 sharesRyxon2137,380 shares475134630,179 shares
Albedo005,521 sharesThis market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 97¢ for Kimi Antonelli means the market gives it about 97%.