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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | 100% | +57 pts | +93 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Aryna Sabalenka | 0% | −56 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iga Swiatek | 0% | −14 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Coco Gauff | 0% | −24 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mirra Andreeva | 0% | −8 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Amanda Anisimova | 0% | −3 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Naomi Osaka | 0% | −4 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Qinwen Zheng | 0% | −4 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madison Keys | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jessica Pegula | 0% | −13 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Barbora Krejcikova | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Karolina Muchova | 0% | −4 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marketa Vondrousova | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Victoria Mboko | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Emma Navarro | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Clara Tauson | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Belinda Bencic | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Emma Raducanu | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Linda Noskova | 0% | −5 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jasmine Paolini | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paula Badosa | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maya Joint | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Diana Shnaider | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jelena Ostapenko | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Daria Kasatkina | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elina Svitolina | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tereza Valentova | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Anastasia Potapova | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Donna Vekic | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dayana Yastremska | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liudmila Samsonova | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Xiyu Wang | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ashlyn Krueger | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marie Bouzkova | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexandra Eala | 0% | −3 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Beatriz Haddad Maia | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elise Mertens | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sofia Kenin | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Katie Boulter | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Marta Kostyuk | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iva Jovic | 0% | −3 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sorana Cirstea | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maja Chwalinska | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Anna Kalinskaya | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sara Bejlek | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ann Li | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Leylah Fernandez | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maria Sakkari | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Diane Parry | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nadia Podoroska | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Janice Tjen | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cristina Bucsa | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Magdalena Frech | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Katerina Siniakova | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Daria Snigur | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lilli Tagger | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Zeynep Sonmez | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Peyton Stearns | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Viktorija Golubic | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Camila Osorio | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Caty McNally | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Magda Linette | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sloane Stephens | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Taylor Townsend | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41d | idkanymore5 | Elena Rybakina | SellYes>99¢ | $7,545 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 41d | SharkVision | Elena Rybakina | SellYes>99¢ | $1,710 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 41d | Rivsterrr | Elena Rybakina | SellYes>99¢ | $10,244 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 41d | Obey2162 | Elena Rybakina | SellYes>99¢ | $12,355 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 41d | kylianonpol | Elena Rybakina | SellYes>99¢ | $5,750 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 41d | 0xc241…519c2 fills | Elena Rybakina | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,660 | −$509 −19% | — |
| 41d | Elena Rybakina | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,029 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 41d | cigarettes4 fills | Aryna Sabalenka | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $6,299 | +$1,917 +30% | 4 |
| 41d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed2 fills | Elena Rybakina | SellYes76¢ → 100¢ | $2,390 | −$754 −32% | — |
| 41d | MenacingTurtle4 fills | Elena Rybakina | BuyYes47¢ → 100¢ | $8,664 | +$9,804 +113% | 9 |
| 41d | dips. | Elena Rybakina | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,227 | +$554 +45% | 14 |
| 41d | MenacingTurtle | Aryna Sabalenka | SellNo51¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | −$1,005 −96% | — |
| 41d | 0xc241…519c | Aryna Sabalenka | SellYes44¢ → 0¢ | $1,453 | +$1,453 +100% | — |
| 41d | MenacingTurtle | Elena Rybakina | SellYes51¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | −$993 −96% | — |
| 41d | omoi0i02 fills | Aryna Sabalenka | BuyYes42¢ → 0¢ | $7,136 | −$7,136 −100% | 9 |
| 41d | LeBronGamer | Aryna Sabalenka | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $2,050 | −$2,050 −100% | 14 |
| 41d | Obey2162 | Elena Rybakina | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$1,788 +40% | 13 |
| 41d | 0xc241…519c | Aryna Sabalenka | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,097 | −$1,097 −100% | 14 |
| 41d | kylianonpol | Elena Rybakina | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $3,796 | +$1,960 +52% | 14 |
| 41d | omoi0i0 | Aryna Sabalenka | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $2,901 | +$1,855 +64% | 14 |
| 41d | SharkVision3 fills | Aryna Sabalenka | BuyYes43¢ → 0¢ | $4,368 | −$4,368 −100% | 9 |
| 41d | nlpredmtt5 fills | Elena Rybakina | SellNo65¢ → 0¢ | $5,670 | +$5,670 +100% | — |
| 41d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed2 fills | Aryna Sabalenka | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $2,240 | +$1,350 +60% | 4 |
| 41d | MenacingTurtle2 fills | Aryna Sabalenka | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $7,237 | +$7,237 +100% | 14 |
| 41d | SharkVision | Aryna Sabalenka | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $4,593 | +$4,593 +100% | 14 |
| 41d | omoi0i0 | Elena Rybakina | BuyYes44¢ → 100¢ | $4,355 | +$5,495 +126% | 14 |
| 41d | Obey2162 | Aryna Sabalenka | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 14 |
| 41d | headortails | Aryna Sabalenka | SellYes57¢ → 0¢ | $1,494 | +$1,494 +100% | — |
| 41d | SupermanJoe2 fills | Elena Rybakina | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $24,556 | +$30,090 +123% | 12 |
| 42d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed2 fills | Elena Rybakina | SellNo68¢ → 0¢ | $2,681 | +$2,681 +100% | — |
| 42d | Illustrious-Exwife | Elena Rybakina | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,178 | −$1,178 −100% | 12 |
| 42d | Illustrious-Exwife5 fills | Aryna Sabalenka | BuyYes57¢ → 0¢ | $14,938 | −$14,938 −100% | 9 |
| 42d | 0F629 fills | Elena Rybakina | SellNo78¢ → 0¢ | $31,360 | +$31,360 +100% | — |
| 42d | nlpredmtt | Aryna Sabalenka | SellYes57¢ → 0¢ | $1,140 | +$1,140 +100% | — |
| 43d | TB142 fills | Elena Rybakina | SellYes40¢ → 100¢ | $8,717 | −$12,865 −148% | — |
| 43d | TB14 | Aryna Sabalenka | SellYes55¢ → 0¢ | $3,036 | +$3,036 +100% | — |
| 43d | Rivsterrr | Aryna Sabalenka | SellYes55¢ → 0¢ | $4,535 | +$4,535 +100% | — |
| 43d | Elena Rybakina | SellYes30¢ → 100¢ | $3,924 | −$9,335 −238% | — | |
| 43d | Coco Gauff | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,200 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 43d | Coco Gauff | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $4,327 | +$563 +13% | 5 | |
| 43d | dips. | Coco Gauff | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,421 | +$141 +9.9% | 6 |
| 43d | MenacingTurtle | Coco Gauff | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,817 | +$114 +6.3% | 5 |
| 43d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed3 fills | Elena Rybakina | BuyNo81¢ → 0¢ | $4,459 | −$4,459 −100% | 5 |
| 43d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed2 fills | Coco Gauff | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,813 | −$692 −25% | — |
| 43d | TB14 | Elena Rybakina | BuyYes15¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$5,602 +560% | 9 |
| 43d | purplegatto | Elena Rybakina | BuyNo88¢ → 0¢ | $1,106 | −$1,106 −100% | 6 |
| 43d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed3 fills | Coco Gauff | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $4,253 | +$939 +22% | 5 |
| 43d | nlpredmtt | Jessica Pegula | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 43d | buythedips | Jessica Pegula | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,989 | +$16 +0.1% | 4 |
| 43d | Jessica Pegula | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,423 | +$24 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 43d | SharkVision | Jessica Pegula | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,428 | +$77 +5.4% | 5 |
| 43d | Lexington2 fills | Jessica Pegula | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,020 | +$303 +7.5% | 5 |
| 43d | Aryna Sabalenka | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $9,299 | −$9,299 −100% | 6 | |
| 43d | zzqq35 | Elena Rybakina | SellYes23¢ → 100¢ | $1,645 | −$5,530 −336% | — |
| 44d | 0x8ba2…16502 fills | Aryna Sabalenka | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $3,830 | −$3,830 −100% | 6 |
| 44d | donthackme | Jessica Pegula | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,306 | +$169 +13% | 5 |
| 44d | donthackme | Coco Gauff | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | +$346 +34% | 6 |
| 44d | Mirra Andreeva | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,357 | +$118 +3.5% | 4 | |
| 44d | SaylorMoon2 fills | Mirra Andreeva | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,541 | +$179 +5.0% | 4 |
| 44d | Mirra Andreeva | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,750 | +$88 +5.0% | 4 |
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Elena Rybakina means the market gives it about 100%.