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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple | 59% | −20 pts | −21 pts | 58¢ · 60¢ (2¢) | $6.51K | in 8d |
| NVIDIA | 41% | +20 pts | +23 pts | 40¢ · 42¢ (2¢) | $4.11K | in 8d |
| Microsoft | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $901 | in 8d |
| Alphabet | <1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $861 | in 8d |
| Tesla | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 8d |
| Saudi Aramco | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 8d |
| Amazon | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 8d |
| Broadcom | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 8d |
| SpaceX | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 8d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | ghusdd | SpaceX | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,716 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 5d | ghusdd | Tesla | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,726 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 5d | ghusdd | Amazon | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,583 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 19d | 0xbbba…d60f2 fills | Apple | BuyYes92¢ → 59¢ | $3,244 | −$1,161 −36% | 9 |
| 19d | 0xbbba…d60f | Apple | SellYes90¢ → 59¢ | $1,114 | +$383 +34% | — |
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 59¢ for Apple means the market gives it about 59%.