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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple | 100% | +4 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| NVIDIA | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Microsoft | 0% | −2 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended | |
| Amazon | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oracle | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 357d | Microsoft | SellNo>99¢ | $1,736 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 357d | Apple | SellYes>99¢ | $5,363 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 357d | Apple | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,776 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 357d | AZwater | Apple | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$12 +0.6% | 4 |
| 357d | nonkenny90 | Apple | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,874 | +$24 +1.3% | 4 |
| 357d | shiro88 | Apple | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,066 | +$34 +1.6% | 4 |
| 357d | wokerjoesleeper3 fills | Microsoft | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,875 | +$76 +2.0% | 5 |
| 357d | AustinLinnn | Apple | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,773 | +$27 +1.5% | 4 |
| 358d | 870125 | Apple | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | +$9 +0.7% | 4 |
| 358d | baofulong | Apple | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,093 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
| 358d | burnhill | Apple | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$23 +1.1% | 4 |
| 358d | burnhill | Microsoft | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$24 +1.2% | 4 |
| 358d | RexRegum | Apple | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,081 | −$13 −1.2% | — |
| 358d | Kakarottt | Apple | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,615 | −$34 −2.1% | — |
| 358d | CBTrading | Apple | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$29 +1.9% | 4 |
| 358d | Microsoft | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,116 | +$44 +2.1% | 4 | |
| 358d | Apple | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$45 +2.3% | 4 | |
| 358d | Apple | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,168 | −$175 −8.1% | — | |
| 358d | Hashbrown | Apple | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,285 | +$47 +2.1% | 5 |
| 358d | Abandoned-Cabbage5 fills | Apple | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $8,248 | +$775 +9.4% | 6 |
| 358d | Abandoned-Cabbage | Microsoft | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,706 | +$178 +2.0% | 5 |
| 358d | new2025xyz | Apple | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,087 | +$150 +14% | 8 |
| 358d | Apple | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $3,239 | +$1,193 +37% | 11 | |
| 358d | cigarettes | Microsoft | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,093 | +$447 +41% | 12 |
| 359d | rated5 fills | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,754 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 359d | Schowtrader | Apple | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $1,267 | +$958 +76% | 12 |
| 359d | Huge-Vitro | Apple | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $6,932 | +$3,571 +52% | 18 |
| 359d | rated2 fills | Amazon | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,234 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 361d | Schowtrader | Microsoft | BuyYes64¢ → 0¢ | $1,068 | −$1,068 −100% | 9 |
| 361d | Pintilie1988 | Microsoft | BuyYes65¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 6 |
| 364d | Apple | BuyYes51¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,906 +95% | 6 | |
| 366d | Dirty-ReorganisationNew account | Microsoft | BuyYes83¢ → 0¢ | $1,733 | −$1,733 −100% | 9 |
| 366d | rated | NVIDIA | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,027 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 371d | cigarettes | NVIDIA | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,006 | +$4 +0.4% | 4 |
| 375d | rated | Oracle | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,550 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 381d | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $1,156 | −$2 −0.2% | — | |
| 381d | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,006 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 381d | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $1,199 | −$2 −0.2% | — | |
| 381d | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,999 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 381d | Oracle | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,598 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 381d | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,001 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 381d | Oracle | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,003 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 381d | new2025xyz | Microsoft | BuyYes74¢ → 0¢ | $1,377 | −$1,377 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2025, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Apple means the market gives it about 100%.