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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft | 100% | +6 pts | +55 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| NVIDIA | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Apple | 0% | −7 pts | −54 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Amazon | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended | |
| Other | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 388d | Microsoft | SellYes>99¢ | $5,402 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 389d | Microsoft | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,663 | +$17 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 389d | Microsoft | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,600 | +$17 +0.5% | 4 | |
| 389d | Apple | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,932 | +$267 +5.4% | 4 | |
| 389d | Patricio8888 | Microsoft | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,998 | +$51 +1.0% | 4 |
| 389d | 0x933a9cf7d526f7f24ea7f3d092ffda0d9bfc64f32 fills | Microsoft | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,880 | +$343 +8.8% | 4 |
| 389d | cigarettes2 fills | Apple | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $3,696 | +$1,458 +39% | 4 |
| 389d | Microsoft | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $6,586 | +$3,518 +53% | 4 | |
| 389d | RexRegum2 fills | Apple | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $3,918 | −$3,918 −100% | 6 |
| 390d | Volyn | Microsoft | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | +$295 +23% | 9 |
| 392d | torrest | Microsoft | SellNo51¢ → 0¢ | $1,618 | +$1,618 +100% | — |
| 393d | Prickly-Bandana | Apple | SellYes56¢ → 0¢ | $2,104 | +$2,104 +100% | — |
| 394d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | Apple | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 6 |
| 394d | wokerjoesleeper | Apple | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,137 | +$284 +25% | 5 |
| 394d | wokerjoesleeper3 fills | NVIDIA | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,779 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 394d | Microsoft | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$836 +42% | 6 | |
| 394d | iSway | Apple | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $1,386 | −$1,386 −100% | 7 |
| 396d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | Apple | BuyNo30¢ → 100¢ | $2,667 | +$6,223 +233% | 10 |
| 396d | Rike-Kasia | Apple | BuyYes66¢ → 0¢ | $2,614 | −$2,614 −100% | 6 |
| 396d | wokerjoesleeper | Microsoft | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $2,045 | −$2,045 −100% | 6 |
| 396d | aureli2 fills | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,102 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 396d | torrest | Apple | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $1,197 | −$1,197 −100% | 4 |
| 397d | cigarettes2 fills | NVIDIA | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,249 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 399d | 546F746573204D63476F746573 | Microsoft | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,294 | +$92 +4.0% | 4 |
| 403d | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,110 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 403d | superblueinc | Microsoft | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$214 +4.3% | 4 |
| 403d | NVIDIA | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,104 | +$10 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 403d | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,112 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | ||
| 403d | tomdotcom | Microsoft | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,325 | +$175 +5.3% | 4 |
| 403d | Amazon | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 404d | nonkenny90 | Microsoft | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,089 | +$133 +6.4% | 4 |
This market will resolve to the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2025, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Microsoft means the market gives it about 100%.