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Polymarket wallet 0xc8a0aadfd309b86a57ed2b89f06cca47c50dc703 · on Polymarket since Aug 27, 2025 · also shown as Present-Crayon
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 78¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +28% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 81¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +23% |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 84¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +19% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 83¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +18% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $1 | +$0 +14% |
| North Korea x South Korea military clash by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 92¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +8.7% |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +7.5% |
| China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +6.4% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +6.4% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 353d | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BuyNo85¢ | $1 |
| 353d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyNo83¢ | $1 |
| 423d | Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BuyYes78¢ | $1 |
| 423d | Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025? | BuyNo84¢ | $1 |
| 423d | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BuyNo93¢ | $1 |
| 423d | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | BuyNo94¢ | $1 |
| 423d | North Korea x South Korea military clash by December 31? | BuyNo92¢ | $1 |
| 423d | China x Taiwan military clash by December 31? | BuyNo94¢ | $1 |
| 423d | US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? | BuyNo81¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.