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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | +1 pts | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 316d | heading | 5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,312 | +$12 +0.5% | 10 |
| 342d | QMG-CORE | 5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,290 | −$35 −0.8% | — |
| 356d | doubledozen | 5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,032 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 358d |  Snow-White | 5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $7,218 | −$26 −0.4% | — |
| 358d | QMG-CORE | 5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,013 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 359d | Snow-White | 5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,340 | +$40 +0.5% | 10 |
| 362d |  Ahpo | 5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,189 | −$11 −0.9% | — |
| 370d | Ahpo | 5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025? | BuyNo100¢ | $1,035 | +$5 +0.5% | 10 |
| 380d |  How.Dare.You | 5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,199 | −$11 −0.9% | — |
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP 'Advance Estimate' for Q3 2025, scheduled for release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) on October 30, 2025, reports a growth rate of -5% or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product. Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.