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Polymarket wallet 0x294d2bbe9108997e1bdff70e96a37da6be8456b7 · on Polymarket since Sep 26, 2024 · also shown as Essential-Smell
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 101 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $100 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Russian strike on a NATO member by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $15 | +$0 +1.5% |
| 5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $9 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $8 | +$0 +4.2% |
| Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $8 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 100¢ → 100¢ | $8 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 89¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.