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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d | 50-year GSE-eligible mortgages by December 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,053 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 310d | 50-year GSE-eligible mortgages by December 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,455 | +$16 +1.1% | 4 |
This market resolves “Yes” if 50-year GSE-eligible mortgages are approved by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying approval requires that either: A) The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) officially approves 50-year mortgages. An approval alone will qualify, regardless of whether Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac subsequently update their guidelines. B) Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac officially makes 50-year mortgages eligible for purchase or guaranty. Only changes regarding new-origination, first-lien, fully amortizing 50-year mortgages will qualify. Other arrangements (e.g., limited pilots, post-origination term changes, junior-lien or revolving products, loss-mitigation programs, etc.) will not be considered. The primary resolution source is official information from the FHFA, Fannie Mae, and Freddie Mac; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.