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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 30 | 6% | −2 pts | −5 pts | 4¢ · 8¢ (4¢) | — | in 38d |
| December 31 | 12% | — | −6 pts | 9¢ · 14¢ (5¢) | — | in 69d |
| October 31 | 3% | — | −3 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 8d |
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frosique180 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Abdul-Malik al-Houthi ceases to be the leader of the Houthis (Ansar Allah) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abdul-Malik al-Houthi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abdul-Malik al-Houthi and the Houthis (Ansar Allah); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 6¢ for November 30 means the market gives it about 6%.