| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 2,446 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $2,311 | +$292 +14% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | No | 1,645 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $1,522 | +$64 +4.4% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,424 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $1,361 | −$5 −0.4% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 1,218 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $1,114 | +$42 +3.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 988 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $904 | +$34 +3.9% |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?Ends ended | Yes | 729 | 78¢ → 99¢ | $722 | +$157 +28% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 442 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $438 | +$9 +2.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | Yes | 718 | 65¢ → 57¢ | $413 | −$51 −11% |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?Ends ended | No | 393 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $390 | +$14 +3.7% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 450 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $362 | −$2 −0.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,966 | 85¢ → 12¢ | $341 | −$2,186 −87% |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 320 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $306 | +$3 +1.0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 305 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $291 | +$20 +7.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 300 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $290 | −$1 −0.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 350 | 86¢ → 82¢ | $287 | −$14 −4.6% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 313 | 67¢ → 92¢ | $286 | +$76 +36% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 309 | 63¢ → 92¢ | $283 | +$89 +46% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 315 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $268 | −$4 −1.5% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 68d | Yes | 323 | 69¢ → 83¢ | $266 | +$43 +19% |
| Ukraine lowers conscription age by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 306 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $258 | +$3 +1.2% |
| Will Houthis target Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 250 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $236 | +$17 +8.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 308 | 80¢ → 77¢ | $236 | −$12 −4.9% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 220 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $213 | +$23 +12% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 82¢ → 71¢ | $211 | −$33 −14% |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 213 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $200 | +$22 +12% |
| Will Houthis target Pakistan by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 204 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $199 | +$6 +3.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 200 | 99¢ → 98¢ | $196 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 240 | 84¢ → 79¢ | $190 | −$12 −5.7% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 198 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $185 | +$15 +8.6% |
| Saudi troops enter Sanaa by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 184 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $180 | +$8 +4.4% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 250 | 66¢ → 67¢ | $166 | +$2 +1.4% |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 156 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $151 | +$9 +6.6% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 175 | 74¢ → 86¢ | $150 | +$21 +16% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 150 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $149 | +$0 +0.3% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 150 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $149 | +$5 +3.6% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 160 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $134 | −$1 −0.4% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 140 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $133 | +$2 +1.8% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 150 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $130 | −$3 −2.1% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 134 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $124 | +$11 +9.9% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 74¢ → 49¢ | $97 | −$50 −34% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?Ends in 23d | No | 103 | 78¢ → 93¢ | $95 | +$15 +19% |
| Saudi troops enter Sanaa by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $94 | +$10 +11% |
| Plague case in US by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $93 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $92 | −$1 −1.1% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 82¢ → 90¢ | $90 | +$8 +9.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 128 | 66¢ → 66¢ | $84 | −$0 −0.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 18h | Yes | 85 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $83 | +$7 +9.5% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 88 | 86¢ → 90¢ | $78 | +$3 +4.5% |
| Abdul-Malik al-Houthi out by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 80 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $75 | +$1 +1.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 84 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $74 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 140 | 58¢ → 52¢ | $72 | −$9 −11% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 80 | 85¢ → 88¢ | $70 | +$2 +2.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 80 | 92¢ → 87¢ | $70 | −$4 −5.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 124 | 56¢ → 55¢ | $68 | −$2 −2.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 200 | 40¢ → 34¢ | $67 | −$13 −16% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 90 | 70¢ → 72¢ | $64 | +$1 +2.3% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 70 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $63 | −$1 −1.2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 60 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $58 | +$3 +6.2% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of Rio de Janeiro?Ends in 2d | Yes | 60 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $58 | +$4 +7.1% |
| Ukraine lowers conscription age by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 60 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $57 | +$2 +3.8% |
| Russia coup attempt by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 65 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $54 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?Ends in 220d | Yes | 100 | 54¢ → 52¢ | $52 | −$3 −4.6% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 58 | 80¢ → 90¢ | $51 | +$5 +12% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 80 | 62¢ → 64¢ | $51 | +$1 +2.8% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 180 | 31¢ → 28¢ | $50 | −$5 −9.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027?Ends in 312d | Yes | 82 | 58¢ → 60¢ | $49 | +$2 +4.1% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?Ends in 11d | No | 50 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $47 | −$1 −1.1% |
| Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 50 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $47 | −$0 −0.4% |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 50 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $46 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027?Ends in 342d | Yes | 69 | 61¢ → 64¢ | $44 | +$2 +4.2% |
| Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 89¢ → 85¢ | $42 | −$2 −5.3% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 50 | 78¢ → 79¢ | $40 | +$1 +1.3% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 11d | Yes | 40 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $37 | +$3 +9.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 40 | 80¢ → 89¢ | $36 | +$4 +11% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 43 | 64¢ → 83¢ | $35 | +$8 +29% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 50 | 68¢ → 68¢ | $34 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 68¢ → 68¢ | $34 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 40 | 84¢ → 79¢ | $31 | −$2 −6.5% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $29 | +$2 +9.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 30 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $29 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 78¢ → 95¢ | $29 | +$5 +23% |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 624 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $27 | −$2 −7.0% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 50 | 56¢ → 53¢ | $26 | −$2 −6.3% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | Yes | 50 | 50¢ → 47¢ | $24 | −$2 −6.0% |
| Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 28 | 70¢ → 80¢ | $22 | +$3 +14% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 30 | 65¢ → 73¢ | $22 | +$2 +12% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 5d | Yes | 25 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $22 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 80¢ → 90¢ | $18 | +$2 +12% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 30 | 59¢ → 57¢ | $17 | −$0 −2.0% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 200 | 13¢ → 9¢ | $17 | −$8 −33% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 80 | 45¢ → 21¢ | $16 | −$20 −55% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 17 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $16 | +$0 +3.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 70 | 31¢ → 22¢ | $15 | −$6 −28% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 62¢ → 64¢ | $13 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 80 | 9¢ → 14¢ | $11 | +$5 +66% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 20 | 56¢ → 56¢ | $11 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 515 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $11 | −$0 −1.4% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.3% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 391 | 25¢ → 3¢ | $10 | −$88 −90% |
